Race Between Sheila Harsdorf and Shelly Moore Could Be Tightest Recall Election in Wisconsin
Also in the news, Sen. Harsdorf votes in favor of legislation to extend unemployment benefits, and Sen. Johnson reacts to S&P's announcement that they would downgrade the U.S. credit rating.
Polls for the district have generally leaned toward Harsdorf, although the gap has gotten increasingly closer between the two.
First there was a poll by Public Policy Polling that had Moore at 5 percentage points behind, followed by a more recent poll by the Mellman Group, sponsored by the Democrats, that had Moore 3 points behind.
Meanwhile, WisPolitics has District 10 listed as leaning toward Harsdorf.
However, history reminds us that polls don't always pan out the way they should come election day, as was the case in the 1948 Presidential election between New York Gov. Thomas Dewey and Harry Truman.
Neither candidate seems intimidated by the polls. Moore told the Hudson Patch "I feel very confident going into Tuesday. Voters all over the district have rejected Senator Harsdorf's radical agenda. This race is a dead heat. We've run a strong grassroots campaign and I'm very confident going into Tuesday."
Harsdorf seems to have a similar confidence level going into the election. She commented that "we are the underdogs against a national union machine that has spent over $9.7 million in Wisconsin. With that said, I believe voters wanted us to end the irresponsible tax-and-spend policies that were bankrupting taxpayers. Fundamentally, people understand that to get our fiscal house in order, tough choices needed to be made, and they realize that outside special interests are driving the recall campaign. Ultimately the outcome of the election will be determined by those who take the time to vote."
One thing that is certain, the primary on July 12 between Shelly Moore and "protest" candidate Issac Weix was the closest in the state.
While the other five true Democratic candidates in Wisconsin swept their primaries with anywhere from 64 percent to 70 percent of the primary vote, Moore won by only 8 percent, with 54 percent of District 10 voting in her favor.
Even given the primary results, Moore remains confident for Tuesday's election, commenting that "I think the most recent polling is an indication of how close this election will be. Every poll that has been done recently shows this race in a statistical tie. Turnout will be high, just like it was in the primary, but high turnout is not a concern to me at all. Momentum is on our side."
Harsdorf, however, believes the primary turnout could be an indication of broad support for her candidacy.
Harsdorf noted that "there are a number of people out there, including Democrats and independents, who think this recall campaign is wrong. I think many of them expressed their opposition to this recall campaign last month, and it may be an indicator of what is to come."
In any event, tomorrow's historic recall election will likely have a huge turn out, and District 10 may be the tightest race in Wisconsin.
The Hudson Patch gave both candidates the opportunity to deliver one final message to the voters before Tuesday.
"I am running for State Senate because I want to restore fair representation to the people of the 10th Senate District. I believe that everyone—including public employees—should do their part to balance the budget. I will not subscribe to the radical Harsdorf/Walker agenda that raises taxes on Wisconsin's working families and seniors, while giving tax breaks to huge corporations. This is not fiscally responsible, and it's not the Wisconsin way. Senator Harsdorf has proven time and time again that she won't listen to the people of the 10th Senate District. It's time for new leadership."
Sen. Sheila Harsdorf:
"I am not being recalled because I did anything wrong, but because I did what I was elected to do—balance the state budget without raising taxes while reforming how government works. The subsequent recall campaign is being financed and driven by big spending special interests intent on exacting political payback. If these recall elections succeed, it will be a dangerous precedent for the relationship between government and taxpayers. It is critical that we continue growing jobs and putting people back to work. Our state has added nearly 40,000 jobs since the beginning of the year. The reforms are already working."
You can follow all the Wisconsin recall election news on our sibling AOL property—The Huffington Post. HuffPo has a live blog going of all the news and notes about recall campaigns across the state. Check out the live blog
Also, don't miss our election night coverage. We'll keep you updated as precincts report their vote totals and both campaigns hold their election night gatherings. Liveblog coverage will begin once the polls close at 8 p.m. on Tuesday, Aug. 9.
- The Wisconsin State Assembly is not currently in session, the Assembly is set to reconvene on Sept. 13.
- On Friday, Aug. 5, Rep. Knudson spoke at a Tea Party Express rally in Hudson' Lakefront Park.
- Knudson has no committee meetings scheduled for the week.
- The Wisconsin State Senate is not currently in session, it is set to reconvene Sept. 13.
- On Monday, Aug. 1, Sen. Harsdorf voted in favor of SB 147. The legislation seeks to extend 13 additional weeks of unemployment benefits to the long term unemployed in Wisconsin.
- On Thursday, Aug. 4, Sen. Harsdorf appeared on Wisconsin Public Radio's The West Side in her third, and final, debate with recall challenger Shelly Moore.
- On Sunday, Aug. 7, Sen. Harsdorf appeared on KSTP TV's political show At Issue. Both she and Moore appeared in separately pre-recoreded segments.
- Harsdorf has no committee meetings scheduled for the week.
- On Monday, Aug. 1, Rep. Kind voted in favor of S. 365, the Budget Control Act of 2011. The legislation passed with a 269-191 vote. 174 Republican Representatives voted for it while 66 voted against the bill; the Democrats were split evenly 95-95.
- On Monday, Aug. 1, Rep. Kind introduced S. 1456, the Disaster Tax Relief Act of 2011. The bill was co-authored by Rep. Richard Neal (D-MA), Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) and Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA). The legislation intends to deliver tax relief to anyone affected by a federal declared major disaster. In a press release, Kind stated that "In the past, Congress has provided tax relief for disaster victims only in an ad hoc fashion, leaving out many deserving individuals. With this bill we can change that, and provide tax relief to help every qualifying family and business rebuild and move on. It’s about time that we have a mechanism in place to help in disaster situations without having to wait for Congress to act each time something happens." The bill has been referred to the Senate Committee on Finance.
- On Tuesday, Aug. 2, Kind apperead on WKBT Channel 8 in La Crosse to discuss the recent debt compromise.
- Tweet of the week: "MT @news8mark: After debt limit vote, where does Congress go from here? @RepRonKind live at 5. Clip here: http://on.fb.me/powMzS"
- Kind has no committee meetings scheduled for the week.
- On Tuesday, Aug. 2, Sen. Johnson voted against S. 365, the Budget Control Act of 2011. The legislation passed the Senate with a 74-26 vote. In a press release, Johnson stated that "last November, the American people sent a very clear message to Washington to get America's fiscal house in order. The fact that we are debating how to reduce the growth of government is a good thing, and the Budget Control Act is a step in the right direction. But it is simply inadequate, and my ‘no’ vote is my way of acknowledging that we simply must do more."
- On Thursday, Aug. 4, Sen. Johnson signed a joint letter encouraging transparency from the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction. In a press release, Johnson commented that "the American people ought to be concerned that Congress has decided not to address our spending crisis through the legislative process: by adopting a budget and then sticking to it. Instead Congress has created a special committee that short-circuits debate and avoids real accountability. The least we should expect is for that committee to do its business in the open." Read the full text of the letter here.
- On Saturday, Aug. 6, Sen. Johnson put out a statement in response to the announcement that Standard & Poor's (S&P) would downgrade the long term credit rating for the U.S. Johnson said that "S&P's downgrade of US Debt to AA+, together with the recent plunge in stock prices, provide further evidence that President Obama's agenda has been a disaster for our economy. No one denies President Obama came into office facing tough economic conditions, but the policies of his Administration have made matters far worse."
- Tweet of the week:"Our borrowing surpassed 100% of our GDP yesterday for the first time since 1947. Time is running out to find a solution."
- Johnson has no committee meetings scheduled for the week.
- On Tuesday, Aug. 2, Sen. Kohl voted in favor of S. 365, the Budget Control Act of 2011. The legislation passed the Senate with a 74-26 vote. In a press statement, Kohl noted that "this plan is a compromise that will put us on the path to debt and deficit reduction. It is far better than what would have been the catastrophe of a default, which would have done enormous damage to every family and business in our state and nation. Once this is behind us, we need to return immediately to the most important job, getting our people back to work and getting the economy back on track." The bill has already been signed into law by President Obama.
- On Thursday, Aug. 4, Kohl put out a new blog post on Patch, Working For The Consumer.
- WisPolitics reports that on Saturday, Aug. 6, Sen. Kohl, along with Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, joined Rep. Fred Clark in Baraboo to encourage support for Clark in his recall attempt against Sen. Luther Olsen (R-14). Rep. Clark and Sen. Olsen will square off the recall election this Tuesday, August 9.
- Kohl has no committee meetings scheduled for the week.